April Spotlight: An update on South Africa and the Russia-Ukraine conflict
SCI EMEA Edition
- Update on South Africa (Ba2 STA) following outlook change to stable
- Credit implications of the Russia-Ukraine conflict for sovereigns globally
Update on South Africa (Ba2 STA) following outlook change to stable
At what level does Moody’s see South Africa’s debt burden stabilizing and what risks to social spending demands and weak state-owned enterprises present to the outlook?
Credit implications of the Russia-Ukraine conflict for sovereigns globally
What are main transmission channels of the Russia-Ukraine conflict to sovereigns globally? Which sovereigns are most exposed to the spillovers effect?
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SpeakersAurelien Mali Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Moody's Investors Service
David Rogovic Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Moody's Investors Service
Mickaël Gondrand Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group Moody's Investors Service
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Aurélien Mali is currently Vice President Senior Credit Officer. He acts as the firm’s expert in Africa. His position is a combined lead analyst and analytical outreach/credit ambassador role. As a member of the Sovereign Risk Group since August 2002, he was involved in Moody’s sovereign ratings in Europe and the Middle East at the beginning of his career. Over the last 8 years, he has been at the forefront of Moody’s growing footprint in Africa. He has been sovereign lead or backup analyst for almost all sovereign issuers and multilateral development banks we rate in Africa. Aurelien was relocated to our Dubai office early 2013 from our London office. Aurelien manages a research programme that supports the development of Moody’s reputation for analytical insight and excellence. He also assumes a greater role in participating in regular Moody’s and third-party conferences on the continent, Africa-related investor briefings, and undertaking analytical outreach to inform and explain Moody’s credit judgments. Aurelien also supports other Moody’s franchises using his unique experience and visibility across multiple sectors and asset classes in the region. Finally, he remains the lead/backup sovereign analyst for few countries including Nigeria, Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Angola and South Africa. Aurélien holds a BSc in Economics and a postgraduate degree (DEA) in Money, Finance and Banking from the Panthéon-Sorbonne University in Paris.
David Rogovic is an Vice President - Senior Analyst in Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group based in New York. David has lead and back-up analyst responsibilities for a number of sovereign and supranational credits in Africa as well as Latin America and the Caribbean. David’s prior experience includes the best part of a decade analyzing sovereign credit risk in Western and Eastern Europe, Russia, Turkey and Asia with J.P. Morgan, Nomura Asset Management and Roubini Global Economics, as well as an earlier stint with S&P’s financial institutions division. David is a Fulbright scholar (Economics Institute, Zagreb) and was awarded a Master of Public Administration from the School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University and Bachelor of Arts (Economics) from Pace University.
Mickaël Gondrand is an Analyst in the Sovereign Risk Group for Moody’s Investors Service, having joined in March 2016. Based in London, he covers a range of African and Middle East sovereigns, including Tunisia, Uganda and Iraq.
Prior to joining Moody’s Mickaël was a Senior Country Risk Analyst at BMI Research (Fitch), focusing on the Middle East and North Africa.
Mickaël holds a Master’s in International Political Economy from Sciences Po Paris and a MSc in Management and Strategy from the London School of Economics (LSE).