作为最早从疫情中复苏的经济体之一，中国在许多其他主权国家前就已经逐渐过渡到正常的政策环境，并将政策重点调整至去杠杆。上述去杠杆管理正面临挑战。与此同时，“共同繁荣”和“双循环”等备受瞩目的政策主题正在为中国的中期发展指明方向。碳转型政策开始产生信用影响。
议题：
• 中国政府在执行降低风险和去杠杆战略时将面临哪些挑战？
• 共同富裕倡议和中国其他监管发展有何信用影响？
• 中美关系将如何影响中国的信用环境？
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SpeakersMartin Petch Vice President - Senior Credit Officer Moody's Investors Service
Jack Yuan Vice President – Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Moody's Investors Service
Lillian Li Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy and Standards Moody's Ratings
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Martin Petch is a Vice President – Senior Credit Officer with Moody’s SovereignRisk Group. Based in Singapore, he covers a portfolio of sovereign credits in the Asia Pacific region – including China, Australia, Hong Kong - as well as credits in Central Asia and the Caucasus.
Martin joined Moody’s in 2017, after working as the Manager of Economic Analysis and Research with BHP Billiton covering its key commodity markets, China, Japan and India, economies in the South East Asian region, and the major advanced economies. Martin also held various positions with the Australian Commonwealth Treasury,the Commonwealth Bank and the Australian Industry Group. Martin was a graduate in Economics from the University of Western Australia
Jack Yuan is an Assistant Vice President and Analyst in Moody’s Sub-Sovereign Group. Based in Shanghai, Jack is responsible for covering a portfolio of China’s regional and local governments. Jack has more than 10 years’ experience in credit analysis and research. Prior to joining Moody’s, he worked at Fitch Ratings with a focus on banks and non-bank financial institutions. Jack holds a Bachelor of Laws and Bachelor of Commerce, majoring in Finance, from the University of New South Wales. He is admitted as a lawyer by the Supreme Court of New South Wales.
Lillian Li is a Vice President–Senior Credit Officer in the Credit Strategy and Standards Group.
Based in Shanghai, Lillian contributes to thematic research on China, Japan and Korea, particularly with a cross-sectoral and macroeconomic credit focus. Lillian also drives and coordinates research initiatives covering major regional credit events.
Lillian’s role includes designing scenario analysis to test the resilience of credit ratings to a range of potential economic outcomes, as well as developing research publications on macro and credit trends and general market outreach for Great China.
Lillian joined Moody’s after eight years with the McKinsey Global Institute, where she led China macro-related research, including trends related to the macroeconomy, local government debt, as well as urbanization and sustainability. Lillian was also involved in analyzing the real estate, steel, auto and internet retail sectors.
Prior to joining McKinsey, Lillian was an Economic Analyst with the Canadian government’s Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade.
Lillian holds a Masters in Economics from the University of Ottawa and an MBA from the University of Warwick.