The shifts in the political landscape and the more salient social and governance risks increase credit risks in Latin America. Yet, opportunities for growth and investment abound in this resilient region.
- What are the key channels of transmission of social and political risks across countries and sectors?
- Can governments oversee economic, fiscal and policy reforms that effectively address social discontent while preserving, or even improving, credit quality?
- Which sectors are more vulnerable and which are better positioned to navigate the current credit cycle?
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SpeakersCeres Lisboa Associate Managing Director, Financial Institutions Moody's Investors Service
Ariane Ortiz-Bollin Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Global Emerging Markets - CS&R Moody's Investors Service
Renzo Merino Vice President - Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group Moody’s Investors Service
Marcos Schmidt Associate Managing Director, Corporate Finance Moody's Investors Service
Cristiane Spercel Senior Vice President, Project & Infrastructure Finance Moody's Investors Service
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Ceres joined Moody’s in 2006 and is the Associate Managing Director - Latin American Banking.
Ceres came from Standard Bank - Brazil, where she was the RegionalCredit Officer for Latin American Financial Institutions. Ceres, a long-time Brazilian bank industry specialist, was also a credit analyst withBank of America’s Trading Group for over six years, and prior to that she worked for ABN AMRO (Brazil) and BankBoston (Brazil) as a credit analyst for the middle market sector. She holds a B.A. degree from Pontificia Universidade Católica - São Paulo and an MBA in Banking from Fundação Getúlio Vargas, Brazil.
Ariane Ortiz-Bollin is a Vice President – Senior Credit Officer in the Global Emerging Markets Team, part of the Credit Strategy and Research group at Moody’s Investors Service. As part of the Global Emerging Markets team, Ariane is responsible for generating house views, decision enabling insights and research that leverage the thought leadership of Moody’s emerging market analysts around the world. Ariane leads the implementation of Moody’s emerging markets outreach and thought leadership strategy, collaborating closely with multiple teams across the company to employ the latest content delivery solutions and ensuring that Moody’s research serves the analytic needs of our customers and stakeholders.
Before this, Ariane spent a decade as a sovereign analyst, managing a portfolio of sovereigns and multilateral development banks in Latin America and the Caribbean, including Mexico, Chile and the International Finance Corporation, leading the internal rating committee discussions for her portfolio of credits, country and region-specific publications, and meetings with government officials. A sought after spokesperson for Moody’s, Ariane’s expertise nurtures internal and external stakeholder relationships, ensuring our views are heard and add value. Ariane has also led several high impact analytic and data systems projects for the Sovereign group, partnering with several teams across Moody’s.
Before joining Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group in 2011, Ariane was a research analyst at the Initiative for Policy Dialogue at Columbia University, prior to which she was a corporate credit analyst in Citi-Banamex in Mexico. Ariane graduated with Honors in Economics from the Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey (ITESM) and has a Master’s degree in Public Administration from the School of International and Public Affairs (SIPA) at Columbia University.
Renzo Merino es vicepresidente y analista sénior del grupo de riesgo soberano de Moody's Investors Service. Se incorporó a Moody's en 2011 y ha sido analista líder de calificaciones soberanas y supranacionales en América Latina desde 2014. Su cartera incluye México, Colombia, Panamá y Uruguay. También es el analista principal del Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo. Renzo ha publicado investigaciones sobre temas relevantes para el crédito soberano que afectan a la región de América Latina. Se graduó de la Universidad de Nueva York con una Maestría en Economía y también tiene un BA en Economía de la Universidad de Pennsylvania.
Marcos Schmidt is a Vice President – Senior Credit Officer in Moody’s Corporate Finance Group in São Paulo, Brazil, leading the credit analysis and rating process for a diversified portfolio of media & telecommunication, airlines, and building materials companies in South America. Prior to joining Moody’s in 2014, Marcos worked at Morgan Stanley, Citibank and Deutsche Bank. Marcos received his bachelor’s degree in industrial engineering from Escola de Engenharia Maua in Brazil. He also holds an MBA from FIA - Fundacao Instituto de Administracao.
Cristiane is a Senior Vice President/Manager, based in Sao Paulo with management responsibility for the rating agency coverage of project finance, infrastructure and sub sovereign credits across Latin America. In her role, she oversees a team of analysts covering those sectors, developing research on sector trends and conducting outreach activities with key market participants. Cristiane has over fifteen years of experience in the financial services industry. Since she joined the firm in January 2007, Cristiane covered several infrastructure credits in the transportation, sanitation and electricity sectors and project finance transactions. Cristiane has also worked as a senior analyst with Moody's corporate finance team covering high yield and financially distressed issuers in the real estate, construction and transportation sectors until 2016.Before joining Moody's, Cristiane developed credit analysis at West lB and fixed income portfolio management activities at Bank Boston. Cristiane holds a Master's degree in Finance from the Zicklin School of Business at Baruch College, a Bachelor's degree in Business Administration and a MBA in Real Estate from the University of Sao Paulo.