Q1 2023 CRE Quarterly Economic Briefing
Capital Markets Take Center Stage: The Economy, Banks, and CRE
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With the collapse of SVB and other banks in the middle of the first quarter, the spotlight has shifted to commercial real estate as the so-called ‘next shoe to drop.’ Stories about bank exposure to CRE and uncertainty about some property types make the news almost daily. But how true is the overall narrative, and what are the nuances that need to be discussed?
- Has any slowdown in economic activity reflected itself in Q1 income performance metrics – even for superstar sectors like multifamily?
- What’s next for interest rates and cap rates, given Q1 GDP growth and what the Fed is expected to do?
Join us for this interactive discussion where Victor Calanog, Tom LaSalvia, and Kevin Fagan will cover all these topics.
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SpeakersVictor Calanog, PhD Head of CRE Economics Moody's Analytics
Kevin Fagan Senior Director, Head of CRE Economic Analysis Moody's
Thomas LaSalvia, PhD Head of Commercial Real Estate Economics Moody's Analytics
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Victor Calanog, Ph.D. CRE® is the Head of Commercial Real Estate Economics at Moody’s Analytics. He and his team of economists and analysts are responsible for the firm’s commercial real estate market forecasting, valuation, and portfolio analytics services.
Dr. Calanog's research has received awards and fellowship support from several institutions, including the Ford Foundation, the Russell Sage Foundation and the Penn Lauder Center for International Business Research.
Kevin is a senior director and Head of CRE Economic Analysis at Moody’s, responsible for research, thought leadership and strategic initiatives for the Moody's CRE group, with a focus on capital markets and climate risks. He’s the industry member chair of the Commercial Real Estate Finance Council ESG and Sustainability Initiative. He was formerly director of CRE and CMBS research in the Moody’s Investors Service. Prior to joining Moody’s, Kevin held CRE research roles at ING Clarion and Jones Lang LaSalle. He also practiced as a structural engineer, designing large scale commercial buildings in California. Kevin holds an MS from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a BS from the University of Texas at Austin.
Thomas P LaSalvia, Ph.D. is the Head of Commercial Real Estate Economics at Moody's Analytics. Thomas, a former professor, brings his pedagogical prowess to his extensive research into the marketplace, with a specific focus on the multifamily sector. His work is frequently published in a variety of periodicals, and he spends a vast amount of time presenting his findings to a variety of industry and academic professionals. Prior to joining Moody's Analytics, he served in a consulting role for the firm while teaching classes in foundational economics and urban economics at The College of William & Mary.