Credit Trends - France

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A New Era: Can inflation, energy, and political risks be contained?

A New Era: Can inflation, energy, and political risks be contained?

Explore France's economic tensions and credit risks in the context of geopolitical risks and the energy crisis.  
Join the in-person event where you will get more clarity on how global themes will play out as the new era unfolds.

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Agenda

09:00 - 09:30
CET

Registration & Networking

09:35 - 10:35
CET

Credit Conditions ​

Can inflation, energy, and political risks be contained?  

  • Will inflation fall back in 2023? Will expectations become de-anchored from central banks' targets?  
  • Will higher net interest income for banks compensate for slower economic growth and higher loan losses?
  • How will high energy prices, higher cost of living and concerns over security of supply impact corporates?
  • Which industries will suffer the greatest collateral damage from the current credit challenges?
10:35 - 10:55
CET

Default & Rating Trends ​

Defaults and ratings as the credit cycle has turned

  • Rating: Will downgrades continue surpassing upgrades?
  • How are defaults expected to evolve in 2023?
  • Are risks well signaled?
10:55 - 11:25
CET

Networking & Coffee Break

11:25 - 12:05
CET

Keynote Interview with Jeromin Zettelmeyer, Bruegel

Europe’s economy and institutions to the test

  • Energy crisis: Has the worst been avoided for good or for now? Has the crisis policy response been effective?
  • Fiscal and debt sustainability: What prospects for European governments?
  • Fiscal framework reform: Will Europe turn two successive crises in an opportunity?
12:05 - 12:40
CET

Climate ​& Net Zero

How will net zero pledges and climate risks reshape economies and capital markets?

  • How does Moody’s analyse transition readiness for companies worldwide? 
  • Why does transition risk matter for credit?
  • How will greater disclosure requirements and data availability help quantify the impact of climate risk on financial markets and the real economy?
12:40 - 13:15
CET

Networking Lunch

13:15
CET

Close of the Event

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Jeromin Zettelmeyer Director Bruegel Bio
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Marie Diron Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Moody's Ratings Bio
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Colin Ellis Managing Director, Global Credit Strategist Moody's Ratings Bio
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Sarah Carlson Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Moody's Investors Service Bio
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Alain Laurin Associate Managing Director, Financial Institutions Moody's Ratings Bio
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Yasmina Serghini Managing Director, Corporate Finance Moody's Ratings Bio
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Olivier Panis Senior Vice President, Financial Institutions Moody's Ratings Bio
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Paul Marty Associate Managing Director, Infrastructure Finance Moody's Investors Service Bio
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Jorge Rodriguez-Valez Senior Vice President, Credit Strategy & Research Moody's Investors Service Bio
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Rahul Ghosh Managing Director – Sustainable Finance Moody’s Ratings Bio


Event Details:

Venue Name: Pavillon Gabriel - Potel et Chabot

Address: 5 Av. Gabriel, 75008 Paris, France


Date: Wednesday, February 15, 2023

Time: 09:00 - 13:15 CET