EM Spotlight
Living with Inflation: What is the credit impact for EM Sovereigns and Corporates?
Every quarter, the EM Spotlight Series delves into one global top-of-mind theme and its implications on key affected sectors.
Join us for a live, interactive Q&A panel discussion where Moody’s sovereign and corporate analysts discuss how inflation will affect sovereign and corporate credit risk, zooming in on Latin American and Asian sovereigns.
- What are the main channels of transmission of inflation for sovereigns?
- Is there a risk of stagflation and if so, where?
- How can inflation hurt the cost structure of many companies?
- Which corporate sectors are better positioned to withstand higher inflation, which are not?
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SpeakersAriane Ortiz-Bollin Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Global Emerging Markets - CS&R Moody's Investors Service
Samar Maziad Vice President - Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group Moody's Investors Service
Christian de Guzman Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Moody's Investors Service
Marcos Schmidt Associate Managing Director, Corporate Finance Moody's Investors Service
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Ariane Ortiz-Bollin is a Vice President – Senior Credit Officer in the Global Emerging Markets Team, part of the Credit Strategy and Research group at Moody’s Investors Service. As part of the Global Emerging Markets team, Ariane is responsible for generating house views, decision enabling insights and research that leverage the thought leadership of Moody’s emerging market analysts around the world. Ariane leads the implementation of Moody’s emerging markets outreach and thought leadership strategy, collaborating closely with multiple teams across the company to employ the latest content delivery solutions and ensuring that Moody’s research serves the analytic needs of our customers and stakeholders.
Before this, Ariane spent a decade as a sovereign analyst, managing a portfolio of sovereigns and multilateral development banks in Latin America and the Caribbean, including Mexico, Chile and the International Finance Corporation, leading the internal rating committee discussions for her portfolio of credits, country and region-specific publications, and meetings with government officials. A sought after spokesperson for Moody’s, Ariane’s expertise nurtures internal and external stakeholder relationships, ensuring our views are heard and add value. Ariane has also led several high impact analytic and data systems projects for the Sovereign group, partnering with several teams across Moody’s.
Before joining Moody’s Sovereign Risk Group in 2011, Ariane was a research analyst at the Initiative for Policy Dialogue at Columbia University, prior to which she was a corporate credit analyst in Citi-Banamex in Mexico. Ariane graduated with Honors in Economics from the Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey (ITESM) and has a Master’s degree in Public Administration from the School of International and Public Affairs (SIPA) at Columbia University.
Dr. Samar Maziad is a Vice President and Senior Analyst at Moody’s Sovereign RiskGroup in New York. She is a lead credit risk analyst for a portfolio of Latin American sovereigns and multilateral development banks, including Brazil and others. Prior tojoining Moody’s, Dr. Maziad was a Senior Economist at the International MonetaryFund, where she covered a wide range of macroeconomic and financial stability issues in emerging markets including China and Latin America.
Dr. Maziad is a regular participant at high-profile market briefings, external conferences and media engagements related to Latin America and emerging markets. Ms. Maziad holds a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of St. Andrews in the UK.
Christian de Guzman is a Senior Vice President with Moody’s Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Risk Group. Based in Singapore, he covers a portfolio of sovereigns and multilateral development banks in Asia Pacific, including Japan, India and a number of Southeast Asian credits, while also managing the team responsible for sub-sovereign ratings in Asia ex-China.
Christian joined Moody’s in 2009, after working as a Senior Economist for the Monetary Authority of Singapore, covering ASEAN economies. He has also held various positions with the Research Department at the International Monetary Fund in Washington DC, and Procter & Gamble in Singapore.
Christian was a Phi Beta Kappa graduate in Economics and Political Science at the University of Georgia and received his M.A. in International Economics and Southeast Asian Studies from the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies.
Marcos Schmidt is a Vice President – Senior Credit Officer in Moody’s Corporate Finance Group in São Paulo, Brazil, leading the credit analysis and rating process for a diversified portfolio of media & telecommunication, airlines, and building materials companies in South America. Prior to joining Moody’s in 2014, Marcos worked at Morgan Stanley, Citibank and Deutsche Bank. Marcos received his bachelor’s degree in industrial engineering from Escola de Engenharia Maua in Brazil. He also holds an MBA from FIA - Fundacao Instituto de Administracao.