Credit differentiation amidst shifting sands
A resilient regional outlook juxtaposed against a cloudy global picture will drive credit differentiation across APAC. With tighter global financial conditions, which sovereigns will face external vulnerabilities, and which ones will stay resilient? What will the unwinding of pandemic relief mean for social and political risks, and how will this bear on fiscal priorities?
- What will tighter financial conditions, inflation and currency depreciation mean for Asian economies?
- Are APAC economies approaching binding limits to fiscal consolidation?
- How is the region positioned to cope with structural challenges from a slowing China, energy security and decarbonization?
- Pulse-checking the socio-political risk climate
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SpeakersChristian de Guzman Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Moody's Ratings
Deborah Tan Assistant Vice President – Analyst, Credit Strategy & Research Moody's Ratings
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Christian de Guzman is a Senior Vice President with Moody’s Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Risk Group. Based in Singapore, he covers a portfolio of sovereigns and multilateral development banks in Asia Pacific, including Japan, India and a number of Southeast Asian credits, while also managing the team responsible for sub-sovereign ratings in Asia ex-China.
Christian joined Moody’s in 2009, after working as a Senior Economist for the Monetary Authority of Singapore, covering ASEAN economies. He has also held various positions with the Research Department at the International Monetary Fund in Washington DC, and Procter & Gamble in Singapore.
Christian was a Phi Beta Kappa graduate in Economics and Political Science at the University of Georgia and received his M.A. in International Economics and Southeast Asian Studies from the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies.
Deborah Tan is an Associate Vice President within Moody’s Credit Strategy and Research Group. Based in Singapore, she leads Moody’s thematic research for India, Southeast Asia and Australia with a focus on producing forward-looking macro-credit insights and outlooks. Her responsibilities also include designing scenario analysis to test the resilience of Moody’s rating methodologies and assessing the impact of these scenarios.
Prior to joining Moody’s in 2019, Deborah was a macroeconomist at BHP Billiton where she covered both India and the US and led the Group’s interest rate, FX and long-term growth projections for key markets. She has also worked at the Monetary Authority of Singapore and PWC.
Deborah holds a master’s in Economics from the University of Cambridge and a bachelor of science in Economics from University College London.