U.S. Macro & Regional Economic Outlook
While the new year has gotten off to a difficult start, it should end well.
The pandemic will be fading by mid-year and unprecedented monetary accommodation and fiscal support augur well. Yet, there are considerable threats to this optimism and substantial longer-term fallout from the pandemic. In this webinar, we will weigh these cross-currents. Join Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team for this timely analysis.
Related Articles
Weekly Market Outlook: Existing-Home Sales Pick Up
Existing-home sales rebounded in January, climbing 3.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4 million, slightly above consensus expectations for 3.97 million sales.
Weekly Market Outlook: The Roaring Twenties?
A new year, a familiar upside surprise from the U.S. labor market.
Weekly Market Outlook: No Surprise in September CPI
September's consumer price index, as Moody's Analytics expected, showed a 0.4% monthly increase that held the annual inflation rate at 3.7%.
Weekly Market Outlook: A Win for the Doves
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell last week emphasized the degree of uncertainty surrounding the outlook for monetary policy, while reasserting the central bank's commitment to not ease up on the brakes until its 2% inflation target is in sight.
Weekly Market Outlook: Retail Sales Still Chasing Inflation
U.S. retail sales continue to grow at a modest pace that is barely keeping up with inflation.
Weekly Market Outlook: U.S. Core Inflation Fever Breaks in June
The U.S. disinflationary forces gathered steam in June.
Weekly Market Outlook: Fed Minutes Reinforce Softened Stance
The Federal Open Market Committee softened its tone in May's post-meeting statement, a sentiment reinforced within the FOMC meeting minutes.
Debt Limit Scenario Update
The Treasury debt limit drama is fast approaching its finale. Congress and the Biden administration have no more than a month before the Treasury runs out of enough cash to pay all of the government's bills on time. Here, we update our analysis of two alternative scenarios that bookend the economic impact if lawmakers do not act in time and there is a breach of the limit.
Weekly Market Outlook: Have We Peaked?
The 0.25-percentage point rate hike at May's Federal Open Market Committee meeting brings the target range of the fed funds rate to 5% to 5.25%.
The Debt Limit Drama Heats Up
The political drama over the Treasury debt limit is suddenly heating up.