The Delta variant is having a significant impact on 2021H2 economic performance. The impact should be temporary as the global economy continues to expand and vaccination rates are accelerating within APAC.
Policy becomes increasingly important during this transition. Monetary policy, fiscal policy, international travel restrictions, and effective COVID-19 management together will determine the pattern of economic growth in the coming year.
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SpeakersSteve Cochrane Chief APAC Economist Moody's Analytics
Katrina Ell Director-Economic Research Moody’s Analytics
Christina Zhu Economist Moody's Analytics
Stefan Angrick Senior Economist Moody's Analytics
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Steven G. Cochrane, PhD, is Chief APAC Economist with Moody’s Analytics. He leads the Asia economic analysis and forecasting activities of the Moody’s Analytics research team, as well as the continual expansion of the company’s international, national and subnational forecast models. In addition, Steve directs consulting projects for clients to help them understand the effect of regional economic developments on their business under baseline forecasts and alternative scenarios. Steve’s expertise lies in providing clear insights into an area’s or region’s strengths, weaknesses and comparative advantages, relative to macro or global economic trends.
A highly-regarded speaker, Dr. Cochrane has provided economic insights at hundreds of engagements over the past 20 years and has been featured on CNBC, CNA, Bloomberg TV, Wall Street Radio, and the PBS News Hour. Through his research and presentations, Steve dissects how various components of the macro and regional economies shape patterns of growth. His extensive expertise on U.S. and global economic issues makes also him a popular speaker at client conferences and executive briefings.
Steve holds a PhD from the University of Pennsylvania and is a Penn Institute for Urban Research Scholar. He also holds a master's degree from the University of Colorado at Denver and a bachelor's degree from the University of California at Davis.
Katrina Ell is a Director-Economic Research in the Sydney office of Moody’s Analytics. Katrina manages the Asia-Pacific edition of Economy.com and is responsible for the research, analysis and forecasting of economies throughout the Asia-Pacific region, with a particular focus on Australia and New Zealand. Katrina is regularly quoted by international media such as CNBC, Bloomberg, the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times and Sky News. She previously worked as an analyst at the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority. Katrina received her bachelor’s degree in economics (honours) from Macquarie University and is currently completing her Masters in Applied Economics at Macquarie University.
Christina Zhu is an economist at Moody’s Analytics. Based in Singapore, Christina is responsible for forecasting and analysing national and metropolitan economies across the Asia-Pacific region, with a focus on China. She writes on a variety of issues for Economy.com and contributes to Moody’s economic consulting projects.
Her expertise lies in applied macroeconomics, financial econometrics and credit risks. She holds a PhD in economics from the National University of Singapore.
Stefan Angrick is an associate director and senior economist at Moody's Analytics in Tokyo. He holds a master's degree from Leipzig University and a PhD from the National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies in Tokyo. He has previously held positions with Oxford Economics, the Asian Development Bank Institute, the Bank of Finland, and Keio University.